A new poll suggests the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives are stuck in a statistical deadlock.

The Nanos Research poll for CTV, the Globe and Mail and CP24 shows the Liberals slightly ahead at 38 per cent support, the PCs at 35.3 per cent and the NDP at 24.6 per cent.

"If an election was held at this time we'd definitely be looking at a minority government and I'd probably be flipping a coin to try and figure out who would be the next premier of Ontario," said Pollster Nik Nanos on Saturday.

While the numbers suggest Dalton McGuinty's party is the competition's frontrunner, the Grits are within the margin of error with Tim Hudak's Tories.

The poll's margin of error is +/- 3.3 per cent, 19 times out of 20. It surveyed 900 decided voters between Sept. 28 and 30.

Ontario's Green Party is trailing the pack at 1.8 per cent support, according to the poll.

The latest data shows little change from a similar Sept. 30 poll, which ranked parties in the exact same order of popularity.

The trend suggests the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives haven't been able to break away from the gridlock that has plagued them for most of the campaign.

Nanos said Hudak's Tories started their campaign with the upper hand but have gradually lost ground.

"As the focus on Tim Hudak and the Conservatives has increased during the campaign, we've seen their numbers soften up," he said.

The NDP led by Andrea Horwath have seen the most impressive increase in support during the campaign, added Nanos, who said he's looking forward to seeing if Horwath can translate her momentum into votes at the ballot box.

Jobs, economy main concern for voters

When asked about election issues, the majority of poll respondents (26.2 per cent) chose jobs and the economy as the topics they considered most important.

The latest data coincides with another Nanos poll released earlier on Saturday that suggested voters consider job creation to be the province's most pressing economic priority.

While the jobs and the economy have gained importance, the poll shows health care remains a top concern.

Of those surveyed, 23.2 per cent chose health care as the province's most important issue.

Other topics of concern included:

  • High taxes (16.6 per cent)
  • Education (10.0 per cent)

The poll's margin of error was also +/- 3.3 per cent, 19 times out of 20.