With just a few days left until Ontarians go to the polls, the two front-runners are tied in voter support, a new poll suggests.
The Nanos Research poll, conducted for CTV, CP24 and the Globe and Mail, puts the Progressive Conservatives at 36.4 per cent support, with the Liberals less than a percentage point behind at 35.6 per cent support. The NDP are holding steady at 25.7 per cent support.
The polling firm surveyed 900 Ontarians aged 18 and over on Friday, Saturday and Sunday. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
The results are only marginally different than a poll released Sunday that put the Liberals slightly ahead. That poll gave:
- the Liberals 36.5 per cent support
- the Conservatives 34 per cent support
- the NDP 6.8 per cent support
As for who would make the province's best premier, Liberal Leader Dalton McGuinty has only a slight edge at 30.9 per cent support. Tory Leader Tim Hudak is close behind with 29.7 per cent support. NDP Leader Andrea Horwath would make the best premier to 18.1 per cent of respondents, while 14 per cent said they are unsure.
Those results were nearly identical to a poll released Sunday that asked the same question.
Monday's poll also asked respondents a handful of questions, including which issue is of most concern to them. According to the survey:
- 27.8 per cent said jobs and the economy
- 23.7 per cent said health care
- 14.4 per cent said high taxes
- 9.4 per cent said education
In polling between mid-August and October, jobs and the economy, and health care have traded places as the issue of greatest concern to voters. On September 11, for example, nearly 33 per cent of respondents put health care as their top issue, compared to nearly 22 per cent who chose jobs and the economy.
When asked which of four specific economic priorities was most important to them:
- 46.4 per cent said creating jobs
- 24.7 per cent said controlling taxes
- 19.6 per cent said managing the debt and deficit
- 8 per cent said promoting innovation
Respondents were also asked which party leader they trusted most to manage these economic priorities. McGuinty was favoured by 33.4 per cent of respondents, Hudak by 31.1 per cent and Horwath by 17.4 per cent. Just over 17 per cent of respondents said they were unsure or none of them could be trusted on economic priorities.
Finally, when asked which of three energy priorities is most important to them, respondents said:
- managing costs (41.5 per cent)
- promoting conservation (30.4 per cent)
- encouraging innovation (24.5 per cent)
As for the leaders most trusted to handle these energy priorities, McGuinty had the slight edge at 31.0 per cent support, followed by Hudak at 29.2 per cent and Horwath at 16.1 per cent. Just over 20 per cent of respondents said none of the leaders was most trusted on these issues, or said they were unsure.