Ontario's summer forecast has been revealed. What to expect from June to September
The Farmers' Almanac has released its 2023 summer forecast, and, according to the long-range forecaster, Ontario could be in for some “hot and soggy” summer months.
Utilizing methods held by the periodical for more than 200 years, The Farmers' Almanac is predicting Ontario and the Great Lakes region will see both hot temperatures and higher-than-usual precipitation this summer and that a “warm-to-hot, soggy” season is in store for the province.
Ontario Extended Long-range Forecast (The Farmer's Almanac)
HOT, DRY STRETCHES
Canada will see a warmer-than-normal summer overall, according to the Almanac’s formula.
While the forecast is preliminary, Environment Canada senior meteorologist David Phillips says it's in line with Canada's increasingly hotter temperatures over the last 20 years as the effects of climate change create a new normal for our summer weather.
"In recent years, our summers have been warmer, the world has been warmer, there's summer fever going on in the world," Phillips told CTVNews.ca in a phone interview last week. "Our summers have been really, without question, warmer in recent years and it fits the global pattern."
Environment Canada will release its own summer forecast at the end of May. Phillips says their preliminary forecast also shows a warmer-than-normal summer for the majority of Canada.
While Ontario will experience bouts of high temperatures in between scattered precipitation, it could be slightly milder than areas like the prairies or Quebec, the Almanac said.
Temperatures are predicted to spike, bringing hot and dry weather to the province, in mid-July, with the periodical forecasting hotter than normal stretches from July 16 to 19, then again from July 28 to 31.
In August, the Almanac said the 4th to the 8th, and the 24th to the 27th will be particularly hot. If their formula proves accurate, this means the province will see a hot, but fair August long weekend.
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL, STORM ACTIVITY
The Great Lakes region will see higher than normal rainfall in the summer months, according to the Almanac’s formula, combined with significant storm activity.
This doesn't necessarily mean temperatures will drop though. Ontarians can expect humid, hot weather even in times of precipitation.
The first week of summer will be welcomed by about 10 days of showers and thunderstorms, according to the Almanac. From June 20 to 23, the periodical forecast “dangerous thunderstorms” will sweep into western Ontario
Scattered thunderstorm activity will continue into July and August as well. From Aug. 1 and 3, “torrential downpours” are predicted. Then, from Aug. 16 to 19, the Almanac says the province will see “violent thunderstorms.”
Thunderstorms are also forecast for Ontario's Labour Day weekend, from Sept. 2 to 4.
Summer will officially end in Ontario on Sept. 23. The final weeks of the season are expected to be scattered with storms, tapering into chillier fall weather.
With files from CTVNews.ca's Melissa Lopez-Martinez.
CTVNews.ca Top Stories
LIVE B.C. seeks ban on using drugs in 'all public spaces,' shifting approach to decriminalization
The B.C. government is moving to have drug use banned in 'all public spaces,' marking a major shift in the province's approach to decriminalization.
Air traveller complaints to Canadian Transportation Agency hit new high
The Canadian Transportation Agency has hit a record high of more than 71,000 complaints in a backlog. The quasi-judicial regulator and tribunal tasked with settling disputes between customers and the airlines says the backlog is growing because the number of incoming complaints keeps increasing.
Orca calf that was trapped in B.C. lagoon for weeks swims free
An orca whale calf that has been stranded in a B.C. lagoon for weeks after her pregnant mother died swam out on her own early Friday morning.
Sophie Gregoire Trudeau on navigating post-political life, co-parenting and freedom
Sophie Gregoire Trudeau says there is 'still so much love' between her and Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, as they navigate their post-separation relationship co-parenting their three children.
More than 115 cases of eye damage reported in Ontario after solar eclipse
More than 115 people who viewed the solar eclipse in Ontario earlier this month experienced eye damage after the event, according to eye doctors in the province.
U.S. flight attendant indicted in attempt to record teen girl in airplane bathroom
An American Airlines flight attendant was indicted Thursday after authorities said he tried to secretly record video of a 14-year-old girl using an airplane bathroom last September.
76ers All-Star centre Joel Embiid says he has Bell's palsy
Philadelphia 76ers All-Star centre Joel Embiid has been diagnosed with Bell’s palsy, a form of facial paralysis he says has affected him since before the play-in tournament.
AFN chief says Air Canada offered a 15% discount after her headdress was mishandled
After the Assembly of First Nations' national chief complained to Air Canada about how staffers treated her and her ceremonial headdress on a flight this week, she says the airline responded by offering a 15 per cent discount on her next flight.
Trump's lawyers try to discredit testimony of prosecution's first witness in hush money trial
Donald Trump's defence team attacked the credibility Friday of the prosecution's first witness in his hush money case, seeking to discredit testimony detailing a scheme between Trump and a tabloid to bury negative stories to protect the Republican's 2016 presidential campaign.