New data released Thursday by the city of Toronto reinforces the breadth of mayor-elect Rob Ford's victory, as he swept the suburbs and dominated most of midtown Toronto.

Ford won 32 of the city's 44 wards, with chief rival George Smitherman winning 12. Deputy Mayor Joe Pantalone finished second in his old Ward 19, Trinity-Spadina. Smitherman received 9,732 votes to 5,801 for Pantalone. Ford trailed with 4,630.

"With the victory that  (Ford) had, he should have had support across the city," pollster Nik Nanos of Nanos Research told CTV Toronto.

The city-wide vote totals were:

  • Ford - 383,501 (47.1 per cent)
  • Smitherman - 289,832 (35.6 per cent)
  • Pantalone - 95,482 (11.7 per cent)

Support for Smitherman was concentrated south of the CPR line that runs just above Dupont Street.

He dominated the most in Ward 27, Toronto Centre-Rosedale. Smitherman, a former Toronto Centre Liberal MPP, took 61.5 per cent of the vote. He wasn't far behind in nearby Ward 28, where he captured 60.6 per cent.

From the Humber River that marks the eastern boundary of Ward 13 to Victoria Park Avenue, the only ward Smitherman didn't pick up was Ward 31, Beaches-East York.

That ward's voters re-elected Coun. Janet Davis, giving her 63.3 per cent support. She had supported Pantalone. Ford took 43.7 per cent of the vote, compared to 32.5 per cent for Smitherman and 15.9 per cent for Pantalone.

"Endorsements and elite political alliances, when people want change, are not effective," Nanos said.

Ford was the change agent in this election, he said.

Immediately south in Ward 32, voters unceremoniously dumped incumbent Sandra Bussin for rookie candidate Mary-Margaret McMahon. But Smitherman captured 50.1 per cent of the vote, compared to 32.4 per cent for Ford.

The midtown areas where Smitherman enjoyed success were:

  • Ward 16, Eglinton-Lawrence
  • Ward 21, St. Paul's
  • Ward 22, St. Paul's

Smitherman captured 48 per cent of the vote in Ward 16, compared to 40.8 per cent for Ford.

That ward is represented by fiscally conservative incumbent Coun. Karen Stintz, who didn't endorse Ford or any other mayoral candidate. She handily won re-election, taking 60.8 per cent of the vote.

Ward 21 re-elected Joe Mihevic, a leftist who endorsed Smitherman. Ward 22 was vacant. Voters there chose former school trustee Josh Matlow.

In provincial byelections in 2009 and early 2010, voters re-elected Liberals in both St. Paul's and Toronto Centre.

If one maps out where Smitherman won, it comes very close to the boundaries of the old, pre-amalgamation City of Toronto.

Here are the numbers by geography:


  • Ford - 65.2 per cent (wins all six wards)
  • Smitherman - 23.1 per cent
  • Pantalone - 7.5 per cent

As a side note, Ford won his old Ward 2, taking almost 80 per cent of the vote. His brother Doug won election as councillor by taking 71.7 per cent of the vote.

North York

  • Ford - 53.2 per cent (wins all seven wards)
  • Smitherman - 27.9 per cent
  • Pantalone - 10.9 per cent

Toronto (including York and East York)

  • Ford - 37.2 per cent (wins 9 wards)
  • Smitherman - 42.5 per cent (wins 12 wards)
  • Pantalone - 15.7 per cent


  • Ford - 57 per cent (wins all 10 wards)
  • Smitherman - 27.7 per cent
  • Pantalone - 8.2 per cent

Nanos said the next step for those who want to understand the mayoral election would be studying voter turnout for the various wards and boroughs.

City-wide, turnout rose to 52.7 per cent.

If turnout was lower downtown and higher in Etobicoke and the other suburbs, that would help explain what happened, Nanos said.